The cost of inaction far exceeds the cost of transformation
The world spends far more dealing with the consequences of failing agrifood systems than it would cost to transform them. Hidden environmental, health and social costs are estimated at US$12 trillion annually, while the investment required to transform agrifood systems is estimated at US$1.2-1.4 trillion per year.
At the same time, development finance is under pressure. Official development assistance (ODA) reached a historic high in 2023 but has since declined sharply, while climate impacts, geopolitical instability and food insecurity continue to intensify. The report argues that scarce concessional finance must be used more strategically to mobilize larger flows of public and private capital while recognizing where commercial finance can, and cannot, deliver.
From challenge to ways forward
1. Introduction
Why agrifood systems matter for food security, economic growth, climate resilience and global stability, and why financing approaches must evolve.
Read Chapter 1 → Chapter 022. The challenge and cost of transformation
Examines the hidden costs of current agrifood systems, financing gaps, investment barriers and the need to repurpose agricultural support.
Read Chapter 2 → Chapter 033. Understanding development finance
An overview of development finance institutions, financing instruments and the fundamentals of catalytic finance.
Read Chapter 3 → Chapter 044. Sources and scale of agrifood finance
Maps financing flows from ODA, development finance institutions, national governments, private investors, blended finance and climate finance.
Read Chapter 4 → Chapter 055. Innovative financing mechanisms
Explores emerging approaches including blended finance, green bonds, impact investing, guarantee funds and climate-focused financing solutions.
Read Chapter 5 → Chapter 066. Ways forward
Presents practical recommendations for donors and development partners to mobilize investment, de-risk finance and strengthen financing ecosystems.
Read Chapter 6 → Chapter 077. Conclusion
Summarizes the investment case for agrifood systems transformation and the implications for future donor action.
Read Chapter 7 →What the evidence says
The financing gap is significant, but the investment case is stronger
Agrifood systems are central to addressing hunger, malnutrition, climate change, biodiversity loss and rural poverty. Yet financing remains insufficient and often poorly aligned with transformation objectives. The costs of inaction are estimated to be many times greater than the investments required to act.
Executive Summary, pp. iv-v; Chapter 2, pp. 4-7. →Private finance matters, but expectations must be realistic
Blended finance and innovative mechanisms can help attract private capital, particularly by reducing perceived risks. However, evidence shows that private capital mobilization in agriculture remains limited, especially in fragile and conflict-affected contexts where public finance continues to play an essential role.
Executive Summary, pp. iv-v; Chapter 4.5 Blended Finance, pp. 27-29; Chapter 6.7, pp. 47-48. →Climate finance remains underallocated
Although agrifood systems contribute substantially to climate challenges and solutions, only a small share of global climate finance currently reaches agriculture, forestry and related sectors. Increasing this allocation is critical to building resilient and sustainable agrifood systems.
Executive Summary, p. v; Chapter 4.6 Climate Finance, pp. 29-30; Chapter 6.6, pp. 46-47. →Donors must use scarce resources more catalytically
With ODA under increasing pressure, the report calls for a shift away from fragmented project-based approaches towards catalytic investments that leverage larger flows of public and private capital, strengthen coordination and support systemic transformation.
Executive Summary, pp. iv-v; Chapter 6, pp. 39-50; Conclusion, pp. 51-52. →Seven priorities for donors
The report identifies seven priorities for donors, including more catalytic use of ODA, scaling blended finance, increasing climate finance and improving support for smallholders and SMEs.
The report identifies seven strategic priorities for donor action:
- Strengthen the case for agrifood systems as investments in security, prosperity and resilience.
- Use ODA more catalytically through improved donor coordination.
- Scale blended and innovative finance mechanisms.
- Reform public financing policies and repurpose agricultural support.
- Expand access to finance for smallholders and agrifood SMEs.
- Increase climate finance directed to agriculture and agrifood systems.
- Be realistic about where commercial finance can operate effectively.
Why this report matters
Transforming agrifood systems is not only a development challenge. It is a prerequisite for long-term food security, climate resilience, economic growth, biodiversity conservation and social stability. The report argues that donors can play a pivotal role, not simply by providing more finance, but by using available resources more strategically to catalyse broader investment and systemic change.
Introduction, pp. 1-3; Chapter 2, pp. 4-13; Chapter 6, pp. 39-50; Conclusion, pp. 51-52.Download the full report
Download the full report to explore the evidence, financing trends and recommendations in detail.
Download the full report